SPX/VIX > 80 Probability

I'm still patiently waiting for the set-up.  The potential is still there that this breaks 1422 and a new bull trend is established.  But right now, it's a nested rising wedge within a rising channel, trying to break through trendline from 2007. 

One ratio that has been reliable for me in the past is SPX/VIX.  When this ratio stays above 80, the probability of decline increases with each passing day.  Back in April, it hit 100% and sold off.  So if we stay above 80, below are probabilities after each trading day.

Probability Of Down		Date
1 TD later	67%	3-Aug
2 TD later	50%	6-Aug
3 TD later	42%	7-Aug
4 TD later	57%	8-Aug
5 TD later	61%	9-Aug
6 TD later	57%	10-Aug
7 TD later	65%	13-Aug
8 TD later	65%	14-Aug
9 TD later	70%	15-Aug
10 TD later	74%	16-Aug
11 TD later	74%	17-Aug
12 TD later	74%	20-Aug
13 TD later	83%	21-Aug
14 TD later	78%	22-Aug
15 TD later	83%	23-Aug
16 TD later	83%	24-Aug
17 TD later	87%	27-Aug
18 TD later	83%	28-Aug
19 TD later	91%	29-Aug
20 TD later	91%	30-Aug
21 TD later	100%	31-Aug
22 TD later	100%
23 TD later	100%
24 TD later	100%
25 TD later	100%
26 TD later	100%
27 TD later	96%
28 TD later	96%
29 TD later	96%
30 TD later	96%